Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.375479 0.410499 0.447859 0.490767 0.538796 0.591024 0.652281
2025-11-30 0.319171 0.368416 0.424561 0.493697 0.577069 0.675028 0.799816
2025-12-07 0.281615 0.336768 0.402460 0.487232 0.594822 0.728304 0.908780
2025-12-14 0.254327 0.312673 0.384608 0.480983 0.608495 0.773979 1.009259
2025-12-21 0.228924 0.287766 0.362363 0.465414 0.606541 0.796753 1.079056
2025-12-28 0.217044 0.278716 0.359034 0.473357 0.635338 0.862073 1.213581
2026-01-04 0.206235 0.269910 0.354855 0.479073 0.660629 0.923804 1.348846
2026-01-11 0.195952 0.260849 0.349316 0.481900 0.681283 0.979828 1.480918
2026-01-18 0.186535 0.252191 0.343485 0.483438 0.699565 1.033219 1.614193
2026-01-25 0.178938 0.245498 0.339807 0.487557 0.721656 1.094002 1.766342
2026-02-01 0.168294 0.233697 0.327818 0.477955 0.721006 1.117457 1.855917
2026-02-08 0.161820 0.227572 0.323759 0.480155 0.739220 1.173440 2.010125
2026-02-15 0.154070 0.219222 0.315986 0.476151 0.747241 1.213464 2.141458
2026-02-22 0.148475 0.213812 0.312377 0.478562 0.766244 1.274598 2.322053
2026-03-01 0.141370 0.205667 0.303964 0.472346 0.769556 1.307299 2.449604
2026-03-08 0.134878 0.198125 0.296044 0.466328 0.772555 1.339406 2.579919
2026-03-15 0.126978 0.187975 0.283378 0.451335 0.758009 1.336442 2.633951
2026-03-22 0.124279 0.185958 0.283794 0.458985 0.785734 1.418501 2.888545
2026-03-29 0.121323 0.183359 0.283065 0.464490 0.809756 1.495484 3.143622
2026-04-05 0.118025 0.180027 0.280902 0.467212 0.828532 1.563458 3.388100
2026-04-12 0.114704 0.176492 0.278186 0.468692 0.844890 1.627883 3.634377
2026-04-19 0.112010 0.173869 0.276879 0.472659 0.866492 1.705885 3.929148
2026-04-26 0.107255 0.167562 0.268851 0.463413 0.860190 1.720929 4.058036